Dallas Stars
DAL · 42-15-10
3–6
FinalL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 35-27-6
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
110110110330
UTA
1211149622
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
DAL 42-15-10 · UTA 35-27-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Stars fell to the Mammoth
The Stars created the better chances (3.2 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 3–6. Casey DeSmith allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.8, on 30 and 22 shots on goal.
DAL 3.2 xG · 30 shots
UTA 1.8 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.9 · 0.2
2nd
1.0 · 0.4
3rd
1.3 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Steel · 1st 06:17 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Clayton Keller · 1st 12:11 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Nate Schmidt · 2nd 07:20 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 15:34 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Jack McBain · 3rd 04:16 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Kailer Yamamoto · 3rd 08:05 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Michael Carcone · 3rd 16:06 · 2–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 19:20 · 2–6 · snap shot, into an empty net
9
Adam Erne · 3rd 19:56 · 3–6 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 74.
DAL 74%UTA 26%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Steel · 1st 06:17 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Clayton Keller · 1st 12:11 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Nate Schmidt · 2nd 07:20 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 15:34 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Jack McBain · 3rd 04:16 · SH · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Kailer Yamamoto · 3rd 08:05 · GWG · 2–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Michael Carcone · 3rd 16:06 · PP · 2–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 19:20 · EN · 2–6
Snap shot, into an empty net
9
Adam Erne · 3rd 19:56 · 3–6
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/21 saves · 5 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.