Dallas Stars
DAL · 45-20-12
0–2
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 50-15-10
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
080405017
COL
070827222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
DAL 45-20-12 · COL 50-15-10 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Stars fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (1.6 to 1.7 expected goals); the Stars lost 0–2. Scott Wedgewood stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.6 expected goals to 1.7, on 17 and 22 shots on goal.
DAL 1.6 xG · 17 shots
COL 1.7 xG · 22 shots
0
1
1st
0.5 · 0.9
2nd
0.4 · 0.2
3rd
0.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Martin Necas · 3rd 10:39 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:02 · 0–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 48.
DAL 48%COL 52%
Goals and penalties
2 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Martin Necas · 3rd 10:39 · GWG · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:02 · EN · 0–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:17
Jamie Benn· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:57
Brett Kulak· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:55
Jack Drury· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:55
Mavrik Bourque· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:12
Brock Nelson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 1.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
17/17 saves · 0 GA · 1.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Stars went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Avalanche power play.