DAL
4–3
CGY
Final / OT · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 46-20-12
4–3
Final / OTW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 32-36-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
021627110425
CGY
04281800320
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–1
DAL 46-20-12 · CGY 32-36-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–1
Stars beat the Flames
Down 1–3 in the 3rd period, the Stars erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Robertson's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Johnston's goal. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 5.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 25 and 20 shots on goal.
DAL 5.5 xG · 25 shots
CGY 1.7 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
0.9 · 0.2
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
1.8 · 0.7
OT · the swing
1.8 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Justin Hryckowian · 2nd 04:30 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Joel Farabee · 2nd 12:38 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
3
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 18:52 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Zayne Parekh · 3rd 00:26 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 01:16 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (45%)
6
Jason Robertson · 3rd 04:51 · 3–3 · snap shot, a great chance (43%)
7
Wyatt Johnston · OT 03:39 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (32%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 92.
DAL 92%CGY 8%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 7 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Justin Hryckowian · 2nd 04:30 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Joel Farabee · 2nd 12:38 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
3
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 18:52 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Zayne Parekh · 3rd 00:26 · PP · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 01:16 · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (45%)
6
Jason Robertson · 3rd 04:51 · 3–3
Snap shot, a great chance (43%)
7
Wyatt Johnston · OT 03:39 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (32%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:40
Matt Coronato· Tripping
Matt Coronato· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:12
Martin Pospisil· High-sticking
Martin Pospisil· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:48
Ilya Lyubushkin· Hooking
Ilya Lyubushkin· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:20
Tyler Myers· Tripping
Tyler Myers· Tripping
Parekh scored on this power play
Minor
3rd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
00:48
Ryan Strome· High-sticking
Ryan Strome· High-sticking
Killed
Double minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:54
Connor Zary· Holding
Connor Zary· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
12:40
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
Overtime
Goaltending
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Stars went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Flames power plays.