Dallas Stars
DAL · 47-20-12
5–4
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 45-22-12
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1421026520
MIN
2821409431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
DAL 47-20-12 · MIN 45-22-12 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Stars beat the Wild
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Stars erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Rantanen's equalizer — and won 5–4. Filip Gustavsson allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.5, on 31 and 20 shots on goal.
DAL 1.5 xG · 20 shots
MIN 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd
0.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 04:26 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Quinn Hughes · 1st 13:02 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 19:44 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 06:39 · 1–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
5
Colin Blackwell · 2nd 08:03 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Cameron Hughes · 2nd 16:16 · 3–3 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
7
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 19:49 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 04:28 · 4–4 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Jason Robertson · 3rd 10:35 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 28.
DAL 28%MIN 72%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 16 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 04:26 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Quinn Hughes · 1st 13:02 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 19:44 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 06:39 · PP · 1–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
5
Colin Blackwell · 2nd 08:03 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Cameron Hughes · 2nd 16:16 · 3–3
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
7
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 19:49 · PP · 3–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 04:28 · 4–4
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Jason Robertson · 3rd 10:35 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:30
Wyatt Johnston· Tripping
Kaprizov scored on this power play
Minor
3
Matt Boldy, Mats Zuccarello · Power play (Johnston, tripping) · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1–2
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:14
Nick Foligno· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:14
Lian Bichsel· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:23
Esa Lindell· Roughing
Kaprizov scored on this power play
Minor
4
Matt Boldy, Mats Zuccarello · Power play (Lindell, roughing) · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
1–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:03
Nick Foligno· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:03
Nick Foligno· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:03
Tyler Myers· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:57
Wyatt Johnston· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:05
Tyler Myers· Holding
Hartman scored on this power play
Minor
7
Jared Spurgeon, Quinn Hughes · Power play (Myers, holding) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–4
3rd period
8
Thomas Harley, Wyatt Johnston · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4–4
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:08
Ryan Hartman· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:08
Adam Erne· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:30
Mikko Rantanen· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:45
Quinn Hughes· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:45
Mikko Rantanen· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:45
Thomas Harley· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:45
Matt Boldy· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
15/20 saves · 5 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Stars allowed 3 on 5 Wild power plays.