Dallas Stars
DAL · 0-1
1–6
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
0818012128
MIN
11131325629
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Stars trail the series 0–1
DAL 0-1 · MIN 1-0 · Game 1 — the Stars trail the series 0–1
Stars fell to the Wild
The Stars created the better chances (3.0 to 1.6 expected goals) — and lost 1–6. Jake Oettinger allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.6, on 28 and 29 shots on goal.
DAL 3.0 xG · 28 shots
MIN 1.6 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.4
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 05:35 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 00:56 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 03:28 · 0–3 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Matt Boldy · 2nd 06:30 · 0–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Jason Robertson · 2nd 15:10 · 1–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 08:13 · 1–5 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Matt Boldy · 3rd 16:52 · 1–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 73.
DAL 73%MIN 27%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 05:35 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 00:56 · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 03:28 · 0–3
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Matt Boldy · 2nd 06:30 · 0–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Jason Robertson · 2nd 15:10 · PP · 1–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 08:13 · PP · 1–5
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Matt Boldy · 3rd 16:52 · EN · 1–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:32
Tyler Myers· Elbowing
Ek scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:23
Marcus Johansson· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:11
Mikko Rantanen· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:14
Mikko Rantanen· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:06
Danila Yurov· Cross-checking
Robertson scored on this power play
Minor
5
Wyatt Johnston, Miro Heiskanen · Power play (Yurov, cross-checking) · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
1–4
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:38
Jonas Brodin· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:31
Esa Lindell· Tripping
Ek scored on this power play
Minor
6
Kirill Kaprizov, Mats Zuccarello · Power play (Lindell, tripping) · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1–5
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:43
Matt Boldy· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:43
Mavrik Bourque· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:43
Nick Foligno· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Stars went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Wild power plays.