EDM
3–4
LAK
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 0-1
3–4
FinalL
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
113216010339
LAK
21614115435
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Oilers trail the series 0–1
EDM 0-1 · LAK 1-0 · Game 1 — the Oilers trail the series 0–1
Oilers fell to the Kings
Chances were even (4.2 to 3.7 expected goals); the Oilers lost 3–4. Jonathan Quick stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.2 expected goals to 3.7, on 39 and 35 shots on goal.
EDM 4.2 xG · 39 shots
LAK 3.7 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.6
3rd
1.2 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Trevor Moore · 1st 11:00 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Alex Iafallo · 1st 16:48 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Connor McDavid · 1st 19:17 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Kailer Yamamoto · 2nd 02:39 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Brendan Lemieux · 2nd 03:50 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 09:56 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Phillip Danault · 3rd 14:46 · 3–4 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 57.
EDM 57%LAK 43%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Kings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Trevor Moore · 1st 11:00 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Alex Iafallo · 1st 16:48 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Connor McDavid · 1st 19:17 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Kailer Yamamoto · 2nd 02:39 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Brendan Lemieux · 2nd 03:50 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 09:56 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Phillip Danault · 3rd 14:46 · GWG · 3–4
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
