EDM
2–4
COL
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 8-7
2–4
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 11-2
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
1901317229
COL
112119212443
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Oilers trail the series 0–3
EDM 8-7 · COL 11-2 · Game 3 — the Oilers trail the series 0–3
Oilers fell to the Avalanche
The Oilers were outchanced (3.5 to 2.9 expected goals) and lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 43 and 29 shots on goal.
EDM 2.9 xG · 29 shots
COL 3.5 xG · 43 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.4
2nd
1.2 · 1.2
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 00:38 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 16:12 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 04:37 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 07:34 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
J.T. Compher · 3rd 12:42 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 19:30 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 40.
EDM 40%COL 60%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 00:38 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 16:12 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 04:37 · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 07:34 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
J.T. Compher · 3rd 12:42 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 19:30 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
