EDM
5–6
COL
Final / OT · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 8-8
5–6
Final / OTL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 12-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
EDM
0123821500535
COL
11601041412642
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Oilers trail the series 0–4
EDM 8-8 · COL 12-2 · Game 4 — the Oilers trail the series 0–4
Oilers fell to the Avalanche
The Oilers let a 3–1 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with five unanswered goals — MacKinnon's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Lehkonen's goal. Mike Smith allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.1 expected goals to 3.8, on 35 and 42 shots on goal.
EDM 4.1 xG · 35 shots
COL 3.8 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
3rd
1.3 · 1.6
OT
0.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cale Makar · 1st 03:46 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 07:39 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 16:57 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Connor McDavid · 2nd 18:54 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Devon Toews · 3rd 00:31 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Zach Hyman · 3rd 03:55 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 08:58 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 13:30 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 14:47 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Zack Kassian · 3rd 16:38 · 5–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
11
Artturi Lehkonen · OT 01:19 · 5–6 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 54.
EDM 54%COL 46%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cale Makar · 1st 03:46 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 07:39 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 16:57 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Connor McDavid · 2nd 18:54 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Devon Toews · 3rd 00:31 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Zach Hyman · 3rd 03:55 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 08:58 · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 13:30 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 14:47 · PP · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Zack Kassian · 3rd 16:38 · 5–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
11
Artturi Lehkonen · OT 01:19 · GWG · 5–6
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
36/42 saves · 6 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
