EDM
3–4
CGY
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 1-1-0
3–4
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 2-0-0
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
11121008329
CGY
416011015442
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
EDM 1-1-0 · CGY 2-0-0 · First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
Oilers fell to the Flames
The Oilers were outchanced (5.0 to 2.9 expected goals) and lost 3–4. Stuart Skinner stopped 3.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 5.0 expected goals to 2.9, on 42 and 29 shots on goal.
EDM 2.9 xG · 29 shots
CGY 5.0 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
0.8 · 2.0
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
1.1 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikael Backlund · 1st 01:13 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
2
Cody Ceci · 1st 03:18 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Michael Stone · 1st 04:34 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Nazem Kadri · 1st 07:41 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 10:18 · 1–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
6
Connor McDavid · 2nd 10:46 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 14:54 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 23.
EDM 23%CGY 77%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikael Backlund · 1st 01:13 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
2
Cody Ceci · 1st 03:18 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Michael Stone · 1st 04:34 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Nazem Kadri · 1st 07:41 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 10:18 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
6
Connor McDavid · 2nd 10:46 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 14:54 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
31/31 saves · 0 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 3.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
7/11 saves · 4 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
