EDM
2–4
BUF
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 1-2-0
2–4
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 2-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
115010123248
BUF
1721215424
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
EDM 1-2-0 · BUF 2-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
Oilers fell to the Sabres
The Oilers created the better chances (5.2 to 2.9 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Eric Comrie stopped 3.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 5.2 expected goals to 2.9, on 48 and 24 shots on goal.
EDM 5.2 xG · 48 shots
BUF 2.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.7 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 1.7
3rd · the swing
2.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 04:00 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Darnell Nurse · 1st 04:23 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 00:44 · 1–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (41%)
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 05:15 · 1–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 18:27 · 2–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 19:55 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 79.
EDM 79%BUF 21%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 04:00 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Darnell Nurse · 1st 04:23 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 00:44 · 1–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (41%)
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 05:15 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 18:27 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 19:55 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
46/48 saves · 2 GA · 5.2 xGA
Stopped 3.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
