Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 2-2-0
6–4
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 3-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
11329311633
CAR
012216212440
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
EDM 2-2-0 · CAR 3-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
Oilers beat the Hurricanes
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.3 expected goals); the Oilers won 6–4. Frederik Andersen allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.3, on 33 and 40 shots on goal.
EDM 3.6 xG · 33 shots
CAR 3.3 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.7
2nd
1.0 · 1.9
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zach Hyman · 1st 08:22 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 01:38 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 08:20 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Evander Kane · 2nd 10:21 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 12:35 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 01:24 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 03:38 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 05:16 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Martin Necas · 3rd 08:55 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
10
Connor McDavid · 3rd 19:50 · 6–4 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 54.
EDM 54%CAR 46%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zach Hyman · 1st 08:22 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 01:38 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Ryan McLeod · 2nd 08:20 · SH · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Evander Kane · 2nd 10:21 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 12:35 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 01:24 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 03:38 · PP · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 05:16 · PP · GWG · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Martin Necas · 3rd 08:55 · PP · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
10
Connor McDavid · 3rd 19:50 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.