EDM
4–3
VGK
Final / OT · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 10-8-0
4–3
Final / OTW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 14-4-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
EDM
110171511423
VGK
1911311200334
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
EDM 10-8-0 · VGK 14-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
Oilers beat the Golden Knights
The Oilers were outchanced (3.6 to 3.0 expected goals) but won it in overtime on McDavid's goal anyway. Adin Hill allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 3.0, on 34 and 23 shots on goal.
EDM 3.0 xG · 23 shots
VGK 3.6 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Warren Foegele · 1st 01:56 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Keegan Kolesar · 1st 16:22 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Mark Stone · 2nd 04:09 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (41%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 10:29 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Zach Hyman · 3rd 00:38 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Mark Stone · 3rd 11:33 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Connor McDavid · OT 01:17 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 40.
EDM 40%VGK 60%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Warren Foegele · 1st 01:56 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Keegan Kolesar · 1st 16:22 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Mark Stone · 2nd 04:09 · PS · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (41%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 10:29 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Zach Hyman · 3rd 00:38 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Mark Stone · 3rd 11:33 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Connor McDavid · OT 01:17 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Darnell Nurse, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–2
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
