Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 12-10-0
4–3
Final / OTW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 10-8-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
EDM
01411121411440
FLA
110092900328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–0
EDM 12-10-0 · FLA 10-8-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–0
Oilers beat the Panthers
The Oilers earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 3.3, and they won it in overtime on Draisaitl's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.3, on 40 and 28 shots on goal.
EDM 4.2 xG · 40 shots
FLA 3.3 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 1.2
2nd
1.0 · 0.9
3rd
1.6 · 1.1
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 03:49 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Connor McDavid · 2nd 10:35 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Tyson Barrie · 3rd 05:18 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Anton Lundell · 3rd 10:58 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Brandon Montour · 3rd 15:16 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 19:55 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Leon Draisaitl · OT 00:22 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 63.
EDM 63%FLA 37%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 03:49 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Connor McDavid · 2nd 10:35 · PP · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Tyson Barrie · 3rd 05:18 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Anton Lundell · 3rd 10:58 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Brandon Montour · 3rd 15:16 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 19:55 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Leon Draisaitl · OT 00:22 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 4.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.