Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 14-11-0
5–3
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 12-11-1
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
0441216522
MTL
18213012333
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
EDM 14-11-0 · MTL 12-11-1 · First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
Oilers beat the Canadiens
The Oilers earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 3.2, and a 5–3 win to show for it. Jake Allen allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 3.2, on 22 and 33 shots on goal.
EDM 3.8 xG · 22 shots
MTL 3.2 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
2.3 · 1.6
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Suzuki · 1st 16:37 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 01:25 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 06:27 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Connor McDavid · 2nd 09:36 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 13:26 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
6
Arber Xhekaj · 2nd 16:38 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 19:55 · 4–3 · snap shot off the rush, a great chance (29%)
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 14:40 · 5–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 60.
EDM 60%MTL 40%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Suzuki · 1st 16:37 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 01:25 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 06:27 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Connor McDavid · 2nd 09:36 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 13:26 · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
6
Arber Xhekaj · 2nd 16:38 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 19:55 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot off the rush, a great chance (29%)
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 14:40 · 5–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
17/22 saves · 5 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.