EDM
5–2
MIN
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 16-12-0
5–2
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 13-11-2
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
21511429538
MIN
110116018244
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
EDM 16-12-0 · MIN 13-11-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Oilers beat the Wild
The Oilers were outchanced (5.8 to 3.6 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Stuart Skinner stopped 3.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 5.8 expected goals to 3.6, on 44 and 38 shots on goal.
EDM 3.6 xG · 38 shots
MIN 5.8 xG · 44 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.5 · 1.4
2nd
1.2 · 2.1
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 2.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Derek Ryan · 1st 02:45 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
2
Connor McDavid · 1st 08:59 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 11:24 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 06:22 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Kailer Yamamoto · 2nd 12:54 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 03:43 · 4–2 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 19:51 · 5–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 24.
EDM 24%MIN 76%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Derek Ryan · 1st 02:45 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
2
Connor McDavid · 1st 08:59 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 11:24 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 06:22 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Kailer Yamamoto · 2nd 12:54 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 03:43 · PP · 4–2
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 19:51 · EN · 5–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
42/44 saves · 2 GA · 5.8 xGA
Stopped 3.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
