Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 20-17-2
2–5
FinalL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 20-12-4
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
11414014232
SEA
0941114524
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
EDM 20-17-2 · SEA 20-12-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Oilers fell to the Kraken
The Oilers let a 2–0 lead get away: the Kraken came back with five unanswered goals — Schwartz's equalizer with the goalie pulled — and won 2–5. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kraken created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.3, on 24 and 32 shots on goal.
EDM 2.3 xG · 32 shots
SEA 2.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.6
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 12:47 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Connor McDavid · 2nd 00:48 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Matty Beniers · 2nd 04:44 · 2–1 · bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
4
Jaden Schwartz · 2nd 05:15 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (40%)
5
Yanni Gourde · 2nd 12:42 · 2–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Jared McCann · 2nd 15:48 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
7
Alexander Wennberg · 3rd 17:29 · 2–5 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 40.
EDM 40%SEA 60%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 12:47 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Connor McDavid · 2nd 00:48 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Matty Beniers · 2nd 04:44 · PP · 2–1
Bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
4
Jaden Schwartz · 2nd 05:15 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (40%)
5
Yanni Gourde · 2nd 12:42 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Jared McCann · 2nd 15:48 · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
7
Alexander Wennberg · 3rd 17:29 · EN · 2–5
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
3/3 saves · 0 GA · 0.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.