Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 21-17-2
4–2
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 22-16-2
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
21829011438
NYI
0421107222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
EDM 21-17-2 · NYI 22-16-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Oilers beat the Islanders
The Oilers earned it: 4.0 expected goals to 1.2, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Oilers owned the 1st period, 2.6 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 1.2, on 38 and 22 shots on goal.
EDM 4.0 xG · 38 shots
NYI 1.2 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.6 · 0.3
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd
0.7 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 09:26 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Kailer Yamamoto · 1st 18:40 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 04:42 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Dylan Holloway · 2nd 08:34 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 15:17 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Cal Clutterbuck · 2nd 19:07 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 89.
EDM 89%NYI 11%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 09:26 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Kailer Yamamoto · 1st 18:40 · SH · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 04:42 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Dylan Holloway · 2nd 08:34 · GWG · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 15:17 · 4–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Cal Clutterbuck · 2nd 19:07 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Connor McDavid, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 4.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.