EDM
2–3
COL
Final / OT · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 21-17-3
2–3
Final / OTL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 20-15-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
EDM
1711201001230
COL
01501121812346
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
EDM 21-17-3 · COL 20-15-3 · First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
Oilers fell to the Avalanche
The Oilers let a 2–0 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with three unanswered goals — Hunt's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Makar's goal. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 4.0, on 46 and 30 shots on goal.
EDM 4.0 xG · 30 shots
COL 4.6 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.6 · 1.5
2nd · the swing
2.2 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 1.8
OT
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zach Hyman · 1st 15:37 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 15:03 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (56%)
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 03:06 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Brad Hunt · 3rd 08:19 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Cale Makar · OT 02:09 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 43.
EDM 43%COL 57%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zach Hyman · 1st 15:37 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 15:03 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (56%)
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 03:06 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Brad Hunt · 3rd 08:19 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Cale Makar · OT 02:09 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
5
Nathan MacKinnon, Alexandar Georgiev · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
43/46 saves · 3 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
