Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 26-18-3
5–3
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 29-14-1
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
213111210534
TBL
0931408331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–0
EDM 26-18-3 · TBL 29-14-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–0
Oilers beat the Lightning
Chances were even (3.8 to 3.7 expected goals); the Oilers won 5–3. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.8 expected goals to 3.7, on 34 and 31 shots on goal.
EDM 3.8 xG · 34 shots
TBL 3.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.9
2nd
1.3 · 1.9
3rd
1.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan McLeod · 1st 06:13 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 16:43 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 01:30 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Zach Hyman · 2nd 03:08 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 07:51 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Brayden Point · 2nd 12:03 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Connor McDavid · 3rd 02:10 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
8
Zach Hyman · 3rd 17:48 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 51.
EDM 51%TBL 49%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan McLeod · 1st 06:13 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 16:43 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 01:30 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Zach Hyman · 2nd 03:08 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 07:51 · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Brayden Point · 2nd 12:03 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Connor McDavid · 3rd 02:10 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
8
Zach Hyman · 3rd 17:48 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Vincent Desharnais, Derek Ryan · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.