Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 31-19-8
4–2
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 23-26-10
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
1505317427
PHI
1917010226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
EDM 31-19-8 · PHI 23-26-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Oilers beat the Flyers
The Oilers earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.2, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Oilers scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.2, on 27 and 26 shots on goal.
EDM 3.3 xG · 27 shots
PHI 2.2 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Noah Cates · 1st 10:01 · 0–1 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Tyson Barrie · 1st 19:57 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Owen Tippett · 2nd 11:37 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 06:49 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Connor McDavid · 3rd 12:39 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Connor McDavid · 3rd 17:35 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 69.
EDM 69%PHI 31%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Noah Cates · 1st 10:01 · 0–1
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Tyson Barrie · 1st 19:57 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Owen Tippett · 2nd 11:37 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 06:49 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Connor McDavid · 3rd 12:39 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Connor McDavid · 3rd 17:35 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Wade Allison, Nicolas Deslauriers · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.