EDM
6–3
OTT
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 37-23-8
6–3
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 33-30-4
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
26316111633
OTT
2909114332
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–0
EDM 37-23-8 · OTT 33-30-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–0
Oilers beat the Senators
The Oilers earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.7, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Mads Sogaard allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.7, on 33 and 32 shots on goal.
EDM 3.7 xG · 33 shots
OTT 2.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
2.3 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Derek Ryan · 1st 02:20 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 06:48 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 12:34 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Tim Stützle · 1st 18:53 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 05:39 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 16:17 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Nick Bjugstad · 2nd 19:59 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Tim Stützle · 3rd 05:28 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Connor McDavid · 3rd 17:47 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 65.
EDM 65%OTT 35%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Derek Ryan · 1st 02:20 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 06:48 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 12:34 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Tim Stützle · 1st 18:53 · SH · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 05:39 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 16:17 · GWG · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Nick Bjugstad · 2nd 19:59 · 5–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Tim Stützle · 3rd 05:28 · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Connor McDavid · 3rd 17:47 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
