EDM
4–1
DAL
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 38-23-8
4–1
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 37-19-13
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
21001327430
DAL
05010111126
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–1
EDM 38-23-8 · DAL 37-19-13 · Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–1
Oilers beat the Stars
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.1 expected goals); the Oilers won 4–1. Stuart Skinner stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.1, on 30 and 26 shots on goal.
EDM 3.6 xG · 30 shots
DAL 3.1 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd
1.8 · 1.1
3rd
0.8 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Warren Foegele · 1st 12:12 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Mattias Janmark · 1st 15:53 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 09:49 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
4
Connor McDavid · 3rd 11:18 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Mattias Janmark · 3rd 17:17 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 57.
EDM 57%DAL 43%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Warren Foegele · 1st 12:12 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Mattias Janmark · 1st 15:53 · SH · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 09:49 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
4
Connor McDavid · 3rd 11:18 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Mattias Janmark · 3rd 17:17 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Evan Bouchard · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–0
2
Connor McDavid, Vincent Desharnais · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
