EDM
3–4
VGK
Final / OT · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 41-23-9
3–4
Final / OTL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 46-21-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
EDM
114191601330
VGK
290811512434
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–1
EDM 41-23-9 · VGK 46-21-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–1
Oilers fell to the Golden Knights
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.2 expected goals); the Oilers lost it in overtime on Roy's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.2, on 30 and 34 shots on goal.
EDM 2.8 xG · 30 shots
VGK 3.2 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 1.3
OT
0.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Eichel · 1st 01:01 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 03:28 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 16:27 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 10:30 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 06:57 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Warren Foegele · 3rd 11:19 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Nicolas Roy · OT 02:26 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 43.
EDM 43%VGK 57%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Eichel · 1st 01:01 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 03:28 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 16:27 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 10:30 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Jonathan Marchessault · 3rd 06:57 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Warren Foegele · 3rd 11:19 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Nicolas Roy · OT 02:26 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
1st period
1
Ivan Barbashev, Jonathan Marchessault · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
