EDM
1–5
VGK
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 5-4
1–5
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 6-2
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
17010011128
VGK
21531107533
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Oilers trail the series 1–2
EDM 5-4 · VGK 6-2 · Game 3 — the Oilers trail the series 1–2
Oilers fell to the Golden Knights
The Oilers were outchanced (3.6 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost 1–5. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.4, on 33 and 28 shots on goal.
EDM 2.4 xG · 28 shots
VGK 3.6 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.0 · 1.8
2nd
0.4 · 1.1
3rd
1.0 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Warren Foegele · 1st 02:45 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 04:44 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 19:09 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Zach Whitecloud · 2nd 07:25 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jack Eichel · 2nd 12:03 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Chandler Stephenson · 2nd 17:13 · 1–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 31.
EDM 31%VGK 69%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Warren Foegele · 1st 02:45 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 04:44 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 19:09 · GWG · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Zach Whitecloud · 2nd 07:25 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jack Eichel · 2nd 12:03 · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Chandler Stephenson · 2nd 17:13 · 1–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
9/10 saves · 1 GA · 1.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
