EDM
4–1
VGK
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 6-4
4–1
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 6-3
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
31111606433
VGK
0609111126
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
EDM 6-4 · VGK 6-3 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Oilers beat the Golden Knights
The Oilers earned it: 2.6 expected goals to 1.9, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Adin Hill allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.9, on 33 and 26 shots on goal.
EDM 2.6 xG · 33 shots
VGK 1.9 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Bjugstad · 1st 06:46 · 1–0 · wrap around shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Evan Bouchard · 1st 07:38 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Mattias Ekholm · 1st 13:30 · 3–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 14:45 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Nicolas Roy · 3rd 05:58 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 63.
EDM 63%VGK 37%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Bjugstad · 1st 06:46 · 1–0
Wrap around shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Evan Bouchard · 1st 07:38 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Mattias Ekholm · 1st 13:30 · 3–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 14:45 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Nicolas Roy · 3rd 05:58 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2
Connor McDavid, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
