EDM
2–5
VGK
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 6-6
2–5
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 8-3
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
215013012240
VGK
1731015522
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Oilers trail the series 2–4
EDM 6-6 · VGK 8-3 · Game 6 — the Oilers trail the series 2–4
Oilers fell to the Golden Knights
The Oilers created the better chances (4.6 to 2.0 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Adin Hill stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.0, on 40 and 22 shots on goal.
EDM 4.6 xG · 40 shots
VGK 2.0 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd
1.4 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
2.0 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Reilly Smith · 1st 00:24 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Connor McDavid · 1st 00:55 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Warren Foegele · 1st 02:43 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 04:26 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 07:44 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 18:36 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
William Karlsson · 3rd 19:21 · 2–5 · backhand shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 84.
EDM 84%VGK 16%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Reilly Smith · 1st 00:24 · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Connor McDavid · 1st 00:55 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Warren Foegele · 1st 02:43 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 04:26 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 07:44 · GWG · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 18:36 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
William Karlsson · 3rd 19:21 · EN · 2–5
Backhand shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
13/17 saves · 4 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
4/4 saves · 0 GA · 0.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
