EDM
5–2
CGY
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 2-5-1
5–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 2-6-1
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
31401425533
CGY
1719010226
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
EDM 2-5-1 · CGY 2-6-1 · First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
Oilers beat the Flames
The Oilers earned it: 4.3 expected goals to 3.2, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Stuart Skinner stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 3.2, on 33 and 26 shots on goal.
EDM 4.3 xG · 33 shots
CGY 3.2 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.6 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brett Kulak · 1st 04:19 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 09:38 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Nazem Kadri · 1st 14:55 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Evan Bouchard · 1st 16:06 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
A.J. Greer · 2nd 11:28 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
6
Vincent Desharnais · 3rd 06:16 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Evander Kane · 3rd 19:13 · 5–2 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 66.
EDM 66%CGY 34%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brett Kulak · 1st 04:19 · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 09:38 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Nazem Kadri · 1st 14:55 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Evan Bouchard · 1st 16:06 · GWG · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
A.J. Greer · 2nd 11:28 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
6
Vincent Desharnais · 3rd 06:16 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Evander Kane · 3rd 19:13 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 4.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
