Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 2-6-1
3–4
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 7-1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
113011225349
DAL
192919427
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
EDM 2-6-1 · DAL 7-1-1 · First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
Oilers fell to the Stars
The Oilers created the better chances (6.1 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Scott Wedgewood stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 6.1 expected goals to 2.4, on 49 and 27 shots on goal.
EDM 6.1 xG · 49 shots
DAL 2.4 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1st · the swing
2.1 · 0.4
2nd
1.6 · 0.9
3rd
2.5 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 08:08 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Evander Kane · 1st 17:00 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 03:25 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Roope Hintz · 2nd 16:06 · 1–3 · tip in shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
5
Roope Hintz · 3rd 02:37 · 1–4 · slap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Sam Gagner · 3rd 10:35 · 2–4 · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
7
Sam Gagner · 3rd 13:36 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a great chance (35%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 90.
EDM 90%DAL 10%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 08:08 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Evander Kane · 1st 17:00 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 03:25 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Roope Hintz · 2nd 16:06 · PP · 1–3
Tip in shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
5
Roope Hintz · 3rd 02:37 · GWG · 1–4
Slap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Sam Gagner · 3rd 10:35 · 2–4
Poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
7
Sam Gagner · 3rd 13:36 · 3–4
Backhand shot, a great chance (35%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
46/49 saves · 3 GA · 6.1 xGA
Stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.