EDM
2–5
NSH
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 2-7-1
2–5
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 5-6-0
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
111114010235
NSH
11031519534
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
EDM 2-7-1 · NSH 5-6-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Oilers fell to the Predators
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.2 expected goals); the Oilers lost 2–5. Jack Campbell allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.2, on 35 and 34 shots on goal.
EDM 3.0 xG · 35 shots
NSH 3.2 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
1.6 · 2.1
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Darnell Nurse · 1st 09:57 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 10:22 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 00:23 · 1–2 · slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 03:24 · 1–3 · slap shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 05:08 · 2–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Tommy Novak · 2nd 15:15 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 08:22 · 2–5 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 47.
EDM 47%NSH 53%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Darnell Nurse · 1st 09:57 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 10:22 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 00:23 · 1–2
Slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 03:24 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Slap shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 05:08 · PP · 2–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Tommy Novak · 2nd 15:15 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 08:22 · 2–5
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Gustav Nyquist, Alexandre Carrier · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–5
No penalties
Goaltending
29/34 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
