EDM
4–1
NYI
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 4-9-1
4–1
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 5-6-3
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
1706319432
NYI
11109013133
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
EDM 4-9-1 · NYI 5-6-3 · First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
Oilers beat the Islanders
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.7 expected goals); the Oilers won 4–1. Stuart Skinner stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 33 shots on goal.
EDM 2.9 xG · 32 shots
NYI 2.7 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
0.4 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mathew Barzal · 1st 00:40 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 14:17 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Zach Hyman · 3rd 07:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 3rd 09:33 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Evander Kane · 3rd 17:33 · 4–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 53.
EDM 53%NYI 47%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mathew Barzal · 1st 00:40 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 14:17 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Zach Hyman · 3rd 07:35 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 3rd 09:33 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Evander Kane · 3rd 17:33 · EN · 4–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
3
Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–1
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
