Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 10-12-1
6–1
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 14-10-1
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
411110113634
CAR
01609114139
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
EDM 10-12-1 · CAR 14-10-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Oilers beat the Hurricanes
The Oilers earned it: 4.9 expected goals to 2.5, and a 6–1 win to show for it. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 34 and 39 shots on goal.
EDM 4.9 xG · 34 shots
CAR 2.5 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 0.7
2nd
1.6 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan McLeod · 1st 00:28 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Mattias Ekholm · 1st 00:41 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Zach Hyman · 1st 05:46 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (49%)
4
Zach Hyman · 1st 14:03 · 4–0 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Warren Foegele · 2nd 02:49 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (53%)
6
Jordan Staal · 3rd 07:05 · 5–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Zach Hyman · 3rd 09:35 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 81.
EDM 81%CAR 19%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan McLeod · 1st 00:28 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Mattias Ekholm · 1st 00:41 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Zach Hyman · 1st 05:46 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (49%)
4
Zach Hyman · 1st 14:03 · 4–0
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Warren Foegele · 2nd 02:49 · 5–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (53%)
6
Jordan Staal · 3rd 07:05 · 5–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Zach Hyman · 3rd 09:35 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
38/39 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.