EDM
4–7
TBL
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 13-13-1
4–7
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 14-12-5
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
015323119457
TBL
2707510724
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
EDM 13-13-1 · TBL 14-12-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
Oilers fell to the Lightning
The Oilers created the better chances (6.8 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 4–7. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 6.8 expected goals to 2.5, on 57 and 24 shots on goal.
EDM 6.8 xG · 57 shots
TBL 2.5 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
3.3 · 0.7
3rd
2.4 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 01:07 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
· 1st 07:17 · 0–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 01:23 · 1–2 · snap shot off the rush, a great chance (31%)
4
Connor McDavid · 2nd 07:20 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 10:02 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 06:48 · 3–3 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
7
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 12:47 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 14:02 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 17:38 · 4–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
10
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 18:27 · 4–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 19:53 · 4–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 92.
EDM 92%TBL 8%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 01:07 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
· 1st 07:17 · 0–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 01:23 · SH · 1–2
Snap shot off the rush, a great chance (31%)
4
Connor McDavid · 2nd 07:20 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 10:02 · PP · 3–2
Deflected shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 06:48 · 3–3
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
7
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 12:47 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 14:02 · GWG · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 17:38 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
10
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 18:27 · EN · 4–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 19:53 · EN · 4–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/22 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
53/57 saves · 4 GA · 6.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
