Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 13-14-1
1–5
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 18-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
012114013139
FLA
315114110539
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
EDM 13-14-1 · FLA 18-10-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
Oilers fell to the Panthers
The Oilers created the better chances (3.3 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 1–5. Calvin Pickard allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.5, on 39 and 39 shots on goal.
EDM 3.3 xG · 39 shots
FLA 2.5 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 05:33 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Brandon Montour · 1st 18:58 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 19:27 · 0–3 · tip in shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Zach Hyman · 2nd 08:08 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Sam Bennett · 2nd 16:01 · 1–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 00:21 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 62.
EDM 62%FLA 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 05:33 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Brandon Montour · 1st 18:58 · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 19:27 · 0–3
Tip in shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Zach Hyman · 2nd 08:08 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Sam Bennett · 2nd 16:01 · PP · 1–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 00:21 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
3
Sam Reinhart, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · tip in shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
0–3
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/39 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
38/39 saves · 1 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.