Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 19-15-1
5–2
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 19-13-5
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
113211212536
PHI
011214012237
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
EDM 19-15-1 · PHI 19-13-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Oilers beat the Flyers
The Oilers earned it: 4.4 expected goals to 3.1, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Stuart Skinner stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.1, on 36 and 37 shots on goal.
EDM 4.4 xG · 36 shots
PHI 3.1 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.5
2nd
1.5 · 2.2
3rd
1.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 15:55 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 08:12 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Travis Konecny · 2nd 11:10 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Marc Staal · 2nd 17:00 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 19:05 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 01:27 · 4–2 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 11:19 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 68.
EDM 68%PHI 32%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 15:55 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 08:12 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Travis Konecny · 2nd 11:10 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Marc Staal · 2nd 17:00 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 19:05 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 01:27 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 11:19 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 4.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.