Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 24-15-1
4–2
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 21-13-8
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
01211238432
TOR
1711406227
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
EDM 24-15-1 · TOR 21-13-8 · First meeting this season — the Oilers lead the season series 1–0
Oilers beat the Maple Leafs
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Oilers erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Ryan's equalizer — and won 4–2. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.6, on 32 and 27 shots on goal.
EDM 3.7 xG · 32 shots
TOR 2.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.7
2nd
1.0 · 1.4
3rd
1.1 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 00:27 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 10:52 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 15:41 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Derek Ryan · 3rd 02:27 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 16:55 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 18:27 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 66.
EDM 66%TOR 34%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 00:27 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 10:52 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 15:41 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Derek Ryan · 3rd 02:27 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 16:55 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 18:27 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.