EDM
4–1
NSH
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 29-15-1
4–1
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 26-22-1
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
191626421
NSH
0709113129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–1
EDM 29-15-1 · NSH 26-22-1 · Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–1
Oilers beat the Predators
The Oilers were outchanced (4.1 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Stuart Skinner stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.4, on 29 and 21 shots on goal.
EDM 2.4 xG · 21 shots
NSH 4.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 07:55 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 11:39 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Connor McDavid · 3rd 09:12 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Colton Sissons · 3rd 13:25 · 3–1 · bat shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Zach Hyman · 3rd 16:41 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 25.
EDM 25%NSH 75%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 07:55 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 11:39 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Connor McDavid · 3rd 09:12 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Colton Sissons · 3rd 13:25 · 3–1
Bat shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Zach Hyman · 3rd 16:41 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
