EDM
8–4
DET
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 31-17-1
8–4
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 27-19-6
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
211111514836
DET
112216110438
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–0
EDM 31-17-1 · DET 27-19-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–0
Oilers beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.5 expected goals); the Oilers won 8–4. Alex Lyon allowed 4.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.5, on 36 and 38 shots on goal.
EDM 3.6 xG · 36 shots
DET 3.5 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.1
2nd
0.6 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
2.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 08:48 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Cody Ceci · 1st 11:05 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 15:39 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 10:17 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 11:24 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
6
Patrick Kane · 2nd 14:30 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 00:44 · 4–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
8
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 03:27 · 5–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Zach Hyman · 3rd 12:55 · 6–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (29%)
10
Evander Kane · 3rd 13:41 · 7–3 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
11
David Perron · 3rd 15:10 · 7–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
12
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 17:49 · 8–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 51.
EDM 51%DET 49%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 08:48 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Cody Ceci · 1st 11:05 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 15:39 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 10:17 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 11:24 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
6
Patrick Kane · 2nd 14:30 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 00:44 · 4–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
8
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 03:27 · GWG · 5–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Zach Hyman · 3rd 12:55 · 6–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (29%)
10
Evander Kane · 3rd 13:41 · 7–3
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
11
David Perron · 3rd 15:10 · 7–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
12
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 17:49 · 8–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Connor McDavid · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/29 saves · 7 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 4.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
