EDM
2–4
MIN
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 33-19-2
2–4
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 27-24-6
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
06113124243
MIN
170637420
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 1–2
EDM 33-19-2 · MIN 27-24-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 1–2
Oilers fell to the Wild
The Oilers created the better chances (4.8 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Filip Gustavsson stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 2.8, on 43 and 20 shots on goal.
EDM 4.8 xG · 43 shots
MIN 2.8 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
1.3 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
2.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 19:37 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 10:27 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Jonas Brodin · 3rd 09:31 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Matt Boldy · 3rd 12:18 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Zach Hyman · 3rd 14:51 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
6
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 18:33 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 77.
EDM 77%MIN 23%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 19:37 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 10:27 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Jonas Brodin · 3rd 09:31 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Matt Boldy · 3rd 12:18 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Zach Hyman · 3rd 14:51 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
6
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 18:33 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
41/43 saves · 2 GA · 4.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
