Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 33-20-2
3–6
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 28-25-5
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
18113114335
CGY
31221019631
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–1
EDM 33-20-2 · CGY 28-25-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–1
Oilers fell to the Flames
The Oilers created the better chances (3.9 to 3.3 expected goals) — and lost 3–6. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 3.3, on 35 and 31 shots on goal.
EDM 3.9 xG · 35 shots
CGY 3.3 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.3
2nd
1.7 · 1.1
3rd
1.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nazem Kadri · 1st 02:02 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Martin Pospisil · 1st 09:11 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Noah Hanifin · 1st 15:53 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Zach Hyman · 1st 18:29 · 1–3 · bat shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 04:34 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Dryden Hunt · 2nd 11:47 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 14:09 · 2–5 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Blake Coleman · 3rd 12:51 · 2–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Mattias Janmark · 3rd 16:16 · 3–6 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 59.
EDM 59%CGY 41%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nazem Kadri · 1st 02:02 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Martin Pospisil · 1st 09:11 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Noah Hanifin · 1st 15:53 · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Zach Hyman · 1st 18:29 · PP · 1–3
Bat shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 04:34 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Dryden Hunt · 2nd 11:47 · GWG · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Noah Hanifin · 2nd 14:09 · PP · 2–5
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Blake Coleman · 3rd 12:51 · EN · 2–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Mattias Janmark · 3rd 16:16 · 3–6
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.