Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 40-21-3
7–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 30-25-9
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
310211216737
WSH
25010010225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–0
EDM 40-21-3 · WSH 30-25-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers lead the season series 2–0
Oilers beat the Capitals
The Oilers earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 2.6, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Darcy Kuemper allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.6, on 37 and 25 shots on goal.
EDM 3.9 xG · 37 shots
WSH 2.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd
1.0 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 04:36 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Connor McDavid · 1st 06:58 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Ivan Miroshnichenko · 1st 08:30 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Connor McMichael · 1st 10:55 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Zach Hyman · 1st 11:24 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
6
Zach Hyman · 2nd 14:13 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Zach Hyman · 2nd 19:08 · 5–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Warren Foegele · 3rd 10:43 · 6–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Connor Brown · 3rd 11:00 · 7–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 69.
EDM 69%WSH 31%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 04:36 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Connor McDavid · 1st 06:58 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Ivan Miroshnichenko · 1st 08:30 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Connor McMichael · 1st 10:55 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Zach Hyman · 1st 11:24 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
6
Zach Hyman · 2nd 14:13 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Zach Hyman · 2nd 19:08 · PP · 5–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Warren Foegele · 3rd 10:43 · 6–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Connor Brown · 3rd 11:00 · 7–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
3
Unassisted · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/37 saves · 7 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.