EDM
3–4
VAN
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 5-3
3–4
FinalL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 6-3
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
19114122345
VAN
3111403418
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Oilers trail the series 1–2
EDM 5-3 · VAN 6-3 · Game 3 — the Oilers trail the series 1–2
Oilers fell to the Canucks
The Oilers created the better chances (4.2 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Stuart Skinner allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 1.8, on 45 and 18 shots on goal.
EDM 4.2 xG · 45 shots
VAN 1.8 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.0
2nd
1.0 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mattias Ekholm · 1st 05:37 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Elias Lindholm · 1st 08:45 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brock Boeser · 1st 13:18 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Brock Boeser · 1st 18:34 · 1–3 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 03:36 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Elias Lindholm · 2nd 17:35 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 18:44 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 83.
EDM 83%VAN 17%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mattias Ekholm · 1st 05:37 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Elias Lindholm · 1st 08:45 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Brock Boeser · 1st 13:18 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Brock Boeser · 1st 18:34 · 1–3
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 03:36 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Elias Lindholm · 2nd 17:35 · PP · GWG · 2–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Evan Bouchard · 3rd 18:44 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
11/15 saves · 4 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
3/3 saves · 0 GA · 0.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
