EDM
5–1
VAN
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 7-4
5–1
FinalW
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 7-5
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
1421429527
VAN
140506115
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
EDM 7-4 · VAN 7-5 · Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
Oilers beat the Canucks
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.5 expected goals); the Oilers won 5–1. Arturs Silovs allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 27 and 15 shots on goal.
EDM 2.7 xG · 27 shots
VAN 2.5 xG · 15 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Holloway · 1st 08:18 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nils Hoglander · 1st 10:03 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
3
Zach Hyman · 2nd 07:14 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 11:20 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 03:25 · 4–1 · poke shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Evander Kane · 3rd 13:04 · 5–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 54.
EDM 54%VAN 46%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Holloway · 1st 08:18 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nils Hoglander · 1st 10:03 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
3
Zach Hyman · 2nd 07:14 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 11:20 · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 3rd 03:25 · 4–1
Poke shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Evander Kane · 3rd 13:04 · 5–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
4
Connor McDavid, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/15 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
