EDM
3–5
DAL
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 9-6
3–5
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 10-6
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
21017013330
DAL
0331623522
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Oilers trail the series 1–2
EDM 9-6 · DAL 10-6 · Game 3 — the Oilers trail the series 1–2
Oilers fell to the Stars
The Oilers let a 2–0 lead get away: the Stars came back with five unanswered goals — Robertson's equalizer — and won 3–5. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 30 and 22 shots on goal.
EDM 2.7 xG · 30 shots
DAL 2.5 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 1.7
3rd
0.9 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zach Hyman · 1st 02:02 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Connor McDavid · 1st 07:37 · 2–0
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 05:35 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 08:05 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 09:08 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Adam Henrique · 2nd 19:07 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jason Robertson · 3rd 11:54 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 18:08 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 54.
EDM 54%DAL 46%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zach Hyman · 1st 02:02 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Connor McDavid · 1st 07:37 · 2–0
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 05:35 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 08:05 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 09:08 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Adam Henrique · 2nd 19:07 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Jason Robertson · 3rd 11:54 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 18:08 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
