EDM
5–2
DAL
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 10-6
5–2
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 10-7
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
21221215529
DAL
260808222
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
EDM 10-6 · DAL 10-7 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Oilers beat the Stars
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Oilers erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Bouchard's equalizer — and won 5–2. The Oilers owned the 1st period, 2.4 to 0.7 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.3, on 29 and 22 shots on goal.
EDM 3.6 xG · 29 shots
DAL 2.3 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.4 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 1.2
3rd
0.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 00:58 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Esa Lindell · 1st 05:29 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Ryan McLeod · 1st 13:30 · 1–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
4
Evan Bouchard · 1st 16:17 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
5
Mattias Janmark · 2nd 14:31 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 15:22 · 4–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 18:07 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 70.
EDM 70%DAL 30%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 00:58 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Esa Lindell · 1st 05:29 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Ryan McLeod · 1st 13:30 · 1–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
4
Evan Bouchard · 1st 16:17 · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
5
Mattias Janmark · 2nd 14:31 · SH · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 15:22 · 4–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 18:07 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
