EDM
2–1
DAL
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 12-6
2–1
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 10-9
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
230502210
DAL
01209113134
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Oilers lead the series 4–2
EDM 12-6 · DAL 10-9 · Game 6 — the Oilers lead the series 4–2
Oilers beat the Stars
The Oilers were outchanced (3.8 to 1.3 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Stuart Skinner stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.3, on 34 and 10 shots on goal.
EDM 1.3 xG · 10 shots
DAL 3.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.5
2nd
0.5 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.0 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 04:17 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 15:42 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Mason Marchment · 3rd 09:18 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 14.
EDM 14%DAL 86%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 04:17 · PP · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Zach Hyman · 1st 15:42 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Mason Marchment · 3rd 09:18 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
8/10 saves · 2 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
