EDM
3–4
FLA
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 12-9
3–4
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 15-5
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
01311626335
FLA
1103805423
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Oilers trail the series 0–3
EDM 12-9 · FLA 15-5 · Game 3 — the Oilers trail the series 0–3
Oilers fell to the Panthers
The Oilers created the better chances (3.8 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.4, on 35 and 23 shots on goal.
EDM 3.8 xG · 35 shots
FLA 2.4 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.0 · 1.0
2nd
1.3 · 1.1
3rd
0.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 18:58 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Warren Foegele · 2nd 01:49 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 09:12 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 13:57 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 15:31 · 1–4 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Philip Broberg · 3rd 06:02 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 14:43 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 71.
EDM 71%FLA 29%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 18:58 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Warren Foegele · 2nd 01:49 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 09:12 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 13:57 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 15:31 · GWG · 1–4
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Philip Broberg · 3rd 06:02 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 14:43 · 3–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
