EDM
8–1
FLA
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 13-9
8–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 15-6
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
31031728835
FLA
11404015133
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Oilers trail the series 1–3
EDM 13-9 · FLA 15-6 · Game 4 — the Oilers trail the series 1–3
Oilers beat the Panthers
The Oilers earned it: 5.7 expected goals to 2.7, and a 8–1 win to show for it. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 5.7 expected goals to 2.7, on 35 and 33 shots on goal.
EDM 5.7 xG · 35 shots
FLA 2.7 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.7 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
3.2 · 0.2
3rd
0.8 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mattias Janmark · 1st 03:11 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (36%)
2
Adam Henrique · 1st 07:48 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 11:26 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Holloway · 1st 14:48 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 01:13 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 04:59 · 5–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 13:03 · 6–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
8
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 14:11 · 7–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
9
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 16:41 · 8–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 85.
EDM 85%FLA 15%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mattias Janmark · 1st 03:11 · SH · 1–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (36%)
2
Adam Henrique · 1st 07:48 · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 11:26 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Holloway · 1st 14:48 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 01:13 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 04:59 · 5–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 13:03 · PP · 6–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
8
Dylan Holloway · 3rd 14:11 · 7–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
9
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 16:41 · 8–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
