EDM
5–1
FLA
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 15-9
5–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 15-8
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
1112426521
FLA
0201118121
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
EDM 15-9 · FLA 15-8 · Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
Oilers beat the Panthers
Chances were even (1.7 to 2.2 expected goals); the Oilers won 5–1. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.7 expected goals to 2.2, on 21 and 21 shots on goal.
EDM 1.7 xG · 21 shots
FLA 2.2 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.3
2nd
0.5 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Warren Foegele · 1st 07:27 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Adam Henrique · 2nd 00:46 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Zach Hyman · 2nd 18:20 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 01:28 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 16:45 · 4–1 · backhand shot off the rush, into an empty net
6
Darnell Nurse · 3rd 16:57 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 41.
EDM 41%FLA 59%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Warren Foegele · 1st 07:27 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Adam Henrique · 2nd 00:46 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Zach Hyman · 2nd 18:20 · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 01:28 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 16:45 · EN · 4–1
Backhand shot off the rush, into an empty net
6
Darnell Nurse · 3rd 16:57 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
