EDM
1–4
CGY
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 0-3-0
1–4
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 3-0-0
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
11006010126
CGY
05111313429
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
EDM 0-3-0 · CGY 3-0-0 · First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
Oilers fell to the Flames
The Oilers were outchanced (3.1 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 1–4. The Flames owned the 2nd period, 1.5 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.8, on 29 and 26 shots on goal.
EDM 1.8 xG · 26 shots
CGY 3.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.5
3rd
0.8 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 01:16 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 07:30 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Anthony Mantha · 3rd 07:06 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
4
Justin Kirkland · 3rd 09:27 · 1–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Connor Zary · 3rd 19:36 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 28.
EDM 28%CGY 72%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 01:16 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 07:30 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Anthony Mantha · 3rd 07:06 · GWG · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
4
Justin Kirkland · 3rd 09:27 · 1–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Connor Zary · 3rd 19:36 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
