Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 6-7-1
2–4
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 9-3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
01021306229
VGK
19012314435
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
EDM 6-7-1 · VGK 9-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–1
Oilers fell to the Golden Knights
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.8 expected goals); the Oilers lost 2–4. Hanifin's winner came with 0:49 left. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.8, on 29 and 35 shots on goal.
EDM 2.4 xG · 29 shots
VGK 2.8 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
1.0 · 1.3
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Eichel · 1st 16:05 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Brett Kulak · 2nd 12:18 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Zach Hyman · 2nd 15:56 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 10:05 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 19:11 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Mark Stone · 3rd 19:55 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 43.
EDM 43%VGK 57%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Eichel · 1st 16:05 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Brett Kulak · 2nd 12:18 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Zach Hyman · 2nd 15:56 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 10:05 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 19:11 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Mark Stone · 3rd 19:55 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.